The Best Updated Betting Strategies for the 111 league database
In September we increased our database of football statistics and historical bookmaker odds to include 111 leagues. Over the past weeks many users have updated and re-shared their strategies. They have applied their existing strategy settings to the new leagues and the latest data. Which strategies have been updated? This article will showcase some of the major strategies to have been updated.
Firstly, why are updated strategies a good thing? There are 4 important reasons why the updated strategies are worth paying attention to.
- More leagues mean the trends that the core settings follow can be checked against a larger data set. More data gives more evidence to support the profitable betting strategies being followed.
- The new league database includes a lot more minor leagues. It is harder for bookmakers to get their odds right and much easier to find inefficiencies in the market models when there is less information available for those markets. Since there is often less public interest in minor leagues, any efficiencies that do exist last longer than those that are quickly backed away by a popular market with many punters having their eyes on them. This does not mean that it isn’t possible to make profit from major leagues, just that there is a lot of logic to suggest that minor leagues have less data and market pressure for the bookmakers to make accurate models with.
- Some of the top performing strategies were created more than 12 months ago. A lot of football has been played since then. The new strategies re-make their league choices based on the latest data. That may mean some leagues are dropped and some are added.
- If the betting trends that worked for 54 leagues also work for 111 leagues, then it is a really positive sign that the strategy settings have found a significant hole in the bookmaker armour.
In this article, we will list all the strategies we are aware have been updated or newly created with the expanded database of 111 leagues. Some of them have been updated by the user who created them and some of them have been updated by other users and given new names. We have done our best to make a list where it is easy to see the original and updated strategies. Also, we will highlight a few of the updated strategies and compare their results to their original versions to see if there have been improved results or not.
List of Top Original and Updated Strategies
|Rating||Bet Type||Original Strategy||Updated Strategy||Core Idea|
|100||Draw||No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams|
By user Maxi
|No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (Updated 2021-11-15) All 111 leagues||These core settings by user Maxi find a global pattern across all leagues with a 10%+ yield. The idea is to find matches with few expected goals, due a draw in the short term and also in the expected odds zone for draws. Even following all 111 leagues the Max drawdown is under 35.|
|Not home on.|
By user Adebola
|Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues||This strategy looks for underdog home teams with poor recent home form playing against an average away team.|
|Home Dog vs Average Away 54 of 111 leagues +4% yields||Same settings as above but only leagues with yields over 4% selected.|
|40||Over 2.5 goals||Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs|
|Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs 34 of 111 leagues (2021-9-23)||This strategy looks for games with draw odds above the standard draw band, and whose home team hasn’t scored in their last game(s) but with an away team who did score in their last game(s).|
By user GrandEkinoks
|Poor but not Hopeless Away 53 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||Looks for games unlikely to draw with a home team of below average home results against an away team with a decent away record. Often backs the away team.|
By user Misbe91
|Contend UD by User Misbe91 (Updated 2021-11-29) 86 of 111 leagues (Overall Filter)||Looks for teams who have not won for a long while at home or away, their odds are unfancied and often become value as the market backs the draw/away team.|
|Contend UD (Updated 2021-11-15) 100 of 111 leagues||Looks for teams who have not won for a long while at home, their odds are unfancied and often become value as the market backs the draw/away team.|
|23||DC12||TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12|
By user twsystem1bm
|TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (Updated 2021-11-16) 35 of 111 leagues||This strategy backs 2 teams in poor form. Both teams view this a “6-pointer” match and push for the win. A good LTD selection.|
|20||Draw||Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0|
|Draws are in late – All Leagues||Exploiting the recency bias for teams without draws in the last 3+ home or away matches+.|
By user Luisbang
|Pro-Home 36 of 111 leagues +4% yield leagues||This strategy looks for games where the home team is favourite and has a good goals average, but the away team also has a reasonable goal average which gives the draw a chance and the home odds get pushed up into value.|
|19||DC12||No draw strategy|
By user hattrick
|No draw strategy v2.0||Looks for bad recent streaks for both teams., but with a low H2H draw rate.|
|14||Under 2.5 goals||Under Home Underdog and Away Winner Streak|
|Under Home Underdog and Away Winner Streak (Updated 2021-11-17) All 111 Leagues||This strategy looks for games where the home team is the underdog and will play defensively and the away team won their last game(s) away giving an expectancy of goals. This trend shows an impressive 7%+ yield across all leagues giving support to the idea that this is a global trend.|
|Unders leagues without Colossus 06 overlap 77 of 111 leagues||This is a strategy with the same settings as Under Home Underdog and Away Winner Streak (Updated 2021-11-17) All 111 Leagues but with the 34 leagues of the Colossus 06 removed. This allows both strategies to be followed without overlaps.|
|7||Away||Reverse streak of away team light version|
By user Highstakes
|Reverse streak of away team light version (Updated 2021-11-05)||This strategy looks for an away weak favourite with slightly better form than the home team. (Updated version has 44 of 111 leagues)|
|Away weak favourite 41 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||This has the same settings as Reverse streak of away team light version (Updated 2021-11-05) but filters leagues to those with 4%+ yields.|
|6||Draw||TW Score Draw|
By user twsystem1bm
|TW ScoreDraw 43 of 111 leagues +4% yields||Backing teams who have scored in their last 2 games or more matches in games where a draw odds are under 3.50. 1-1/2-2 correct score also a good side bet.|
|5||Favourite||Colossus 03 Free Scoring Favourites|
|Colossus 03 Free Scoring Favourites (Updated 2021-11-17) 26 of 111 leagues||Backing favorites who have a high goals average. Also, if the underdog has a good scoring average, it means they are not a defensive minded team that seeks just to park the bus and hope for a draw which can often frustrate top teams.|
|4||Under 2.5 goals||Under 2.5 breakig the trend|
By user Luckyluke
|Under 2.5 breaking the trend (Updated 2021-11-08)||Back unders in games where both teams have been involved in overs games recently.|
|4||Under 2.5 goals||Under 2.5 home team underdog|
By user Luckyluke
|Under 2.5 home team underdog (Updated 2021-11-08)||Back unders in a game where the home team is the underdog and both teams have had more than their fair share of overs games this season. 45 of 111 leagues used.|
|2||Over 2.5 goals||Over 2.5 against the trend / Más 2.5 contra tendencia|
|Over 2.5 against the trend / Más 2.5 contra tendencia (Updated 2021-10-21)||This strategy goes against the short term trend of games with under 2.5 goals in the expectation that an over 2.5 goals game will come as part of a return to the long term trend seen in historical results of this kind of fixture|
|1||Home||Colossus 01 Home Dog|
|Home Dog 88 of 111 leagues||An over evens home team with good recent form faces a team with poor away form. The popular high yielding original strategy produced only 1 pick per month, but the updated version finds 13 per month with the new leagues.|
Highlighting Top Strategies
1 No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (Updated 2021-11-15) All 111 leagues Originally By User Maxi
This long running top strategy, originally by veteran user Maxi, has achieved an amazing Betaminic rating of 100 on multiple occasions. It seems to have found a very good value trend in the bookmaker odds. The updated version finds that this strategy works across all 111 leagues. That is a truly global trend which is valid in all the league models. The monthly picks increase from 15 to 20 with the new version and the average odds stay exactly the same at 3.33 showing a consistency between the old and new version. The yields and max drawdown also stay about the same. The really good news is that the average profit of this existing strategy has been increased thanks to the expanded database. This looks like a really good strategy to follow, and it seems that 5 users are already betting on it. User Maxi has a number of successful strategies shared on the public strategies page, we think it is worth taking a look at his strategies since they are often based on good core betting ideas.
There are only 8 bets in the since shared period for the updated strategy, but already it is in profit and will hopefully go on to mirror the upward progression of the original strategy.
2 Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues Originally By User Adebola
This strategy from user Adebola has had very good results. This strategy looks for underdog home teams with poor recent home form playing against an average away team. It has been updated in 2 ways. Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues uses exactly the same settings as the original but removes leagues with negative results and 50+ results in that league’s data set. This leaves it covering 93 of the 111 leagues which is showing a fairly universal trend. If no leagues were filtered, these settings actually get a very large 5.9% yield. That is across ALL leagues. This shows a really strong and universal trend. But applied to all leagues the drawdown increases to -122 points. So filtering out leagues where the bookmaker model maker has actively overcompensated in can bring the historical max drawdown down to a more acceptable -66 for the Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues version. One more alternative update is Home Dog vs Average Away 54 of 111 leagues +4% yields which filters out leagues with yields of less than 4%. This reduces the number of leagues covered to just 54, but still a significant number of leagues. This version gets the maximum drawdown to -28.76.
Home Dog vs Average Away 54 of 111 leagues +4% yields was shared on September 24th, while Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues was shared on November 15th, so it has less results in its since shared period. Both versions of the updated strategy are showing good early results, the former with a very strong +18% yield after 92 bets, and the latter with +12% after 16 bets, still very early days there.
3 Contend UD by User Misbe91 (Updated 2021-11-29) 86 of 111 leagues (Overall Filter) Originally By User Misbe91
This is one of a number of strategies that follow a similar theme of looking for unfancied home teams. It looks for teams who have not won for a long while at home or away. Their odds are unfancied and often become value as the market backs the draw/away team result. I mean, would you back a team that had not won a match in so long? Football is not like a roulette wheel. Each game is not an unconnected, isolated event. (See our Gambler’s fallacy article for more on this.) Eventually the home team will get its win, most likely at home, and the odds for that home win will be good value when it comes. The original strategy filters home teams that have not won home or away (overall) for a long while, but there are 2 updated versions. One that uses the exact same “overall” filter and a second that looks for home teams that have not won for a while “at home”. Impressively, both versions work over all leagues to generate a significant yield of 3.4% for the home only version and 3.8% for the overall version. This really shows how betting against the trend can beat the entire market. (Public sharing requirements specify a yield of 5% or higher is necessary, so both of these strategies have been edited to filter out leagues with negative results that also have 50 or more bets in their data set. If you want to follow an All Leagues version of these strategies, you can re-create them in your private strategies area.) The Overall filter version has more picks and more average profit per month than the Home filter only version.
There are only 9 bets in the Since Shared results for the Home filter version, but already it is showing positive results.
List of new strategies created with expanded 111 league database
|Bet Type||New Strategy||Core Idea|
|Draw||Draw Due All 111 leagues||This strategy makes 8% ROI across ALL leagues. This is a strong global trend. It looks for games where a draw is due after long drawless runs and when the Over 2.5 goal odds are near evens suggesting a 1-1 is likely. The draw odds themselves are narrowed to likely draw bands to avoid games where there is a strong favourite (higher draw odds).|
|Draw||Draw-Prone Home Team – All Leagues||The draw-prone local team in some matches without a clear advantage over the visitors.|
|Draw||Weak Home Unders Draw All 111 leagues||The home team is not a strong favourite and few goals are expected. A draw is very possible.|
|Draw||Average vs Average – All Leagues||Taking advantage of the draws between two mid-table teams.|
|Draw||Away Dog Draw 38 of 111 leagues 4%+ leagues||The away dog odds are not so high as to suggest their task is impossible. The over 2.5 goals market suggests goals and if there are goals in the game, then it is likely both teams have scoring form and the away team is in with a chance.|
|Draw||Dog Draw 19 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||When the underdog is not too highly priced we can imagine it is in with a fighting chance and there could be a draw.|
|Draw||They like draws (Updated 2021-11-10)||Strategy for the draw. Last games of both teams scoring, and look for change of trend, with few goals and draws.|
|Draw||Two Bulls Draw 41 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||Two strong teams meet and a draw is highly likely.|
|Draw||Weak Home Unders Draw 46 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||The home team is not a strong favourite and few goals are expected. A draw is very possible.|
|Draw||Weak team drawing at home 48 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||Home team does not win that many and is likely to draw at home when not favourite but odds also not too high so still expected to have a chance. Score draw expected here. Leagues with 4%+ yields selected|
|Home||Home||Home wins after loss streak|
|Home||Home team good form||Backing home teams that won 8 out of their last 10 at home.|
|Home||Home Win springing a surprise||Backing the home underdog with unbeaten recent form against an away team with recent unbeaten overall from.|
|Home||Home Win two consecutive wins at home (Updated 2021-10-26)||Backing the home team to get a 3rd home win from 3 against a decent away side.|
|Home||HOME WIN WITH HIGH ODDS.||Backing home wins with odds over 4.|
|Home||Massive Bets for Win||Back home teams that have not won in a while. (No odds filters)|
|Home||The rocket strategy (Updated 2021-11-07)||Back the home team after draw(s) against an away team with recent win(s).|
|Home||Weak home wins or loses 27 of 111 leagues 2.5%+ yields||Home teams who have not drawn more than 5 of their last 10 games overall with odds over evens up to slight underdogs and goals expected in the game. Leagues over 2.5% yield selected|
|Home||Winless Home Dog with a chance 59 of 111 leagues with positive yields||The home team has not won in the last 5 games at home, but they did win the 6th home game before this., and their match odds are under 5 so the market also thinks they have a chance in this match. These leagues were filtered to those with yields over 0%|
|Away||Highstakes – Away team wins||Back the weak away favourite when the home team has not been on a long home winning streak recently.|
|Away||Reverse streak of away team||Reverse streak of away team. Finding winning pattern of value odds.|
|Favourite||Favorite team all in||Backing the strong favourite when both teams won their last game(s) (55 of 11 leagues used)|
|Underdog||Viriato Natural Pushing||Back the away underdog when both teams have poor recent form.|
|Underdog||Viriato Natural Pushing V2||Back the away underdog when both teams have poor recent form. With different league selection method. 1. Ú5 2P CF / 2. Ú10 6P CF|
|Underdog||brave top club||Backing high odds underdogs.|
|Underdog||NO FAV ODDS 3 – 8||Back the underdog in a game between two poor form teams.|
|Underdog||UNDERDOG HIGH ODDS||Back underdogs with high odds over 7.|
|Underdog||Underdog home team||Betting on underdog at home, odds between 3.00 and 5.00|
|Underdog||Underdog, it’s your turn now!||Back the underdog when neither team has won in the last 3 home/away games respectively.|
|1X||DC Home WIn / Draw||Back the 1X for home teams with good long term form but poor short term form.|
|1X||double chance mise a jour||Back the home 1X for a team with decent long term form but poor short term form. (16 of 111 leagues used)|
|1X||Weak team drawing at home 24 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields (DC1X)||Double Chance version of the weak team drawing at home value trend|
|1X||Winning pattern 1X||Back the 1X when two strong teams meet and goals are expected.|
|DC1X||Home win or draw (away team good run)||Backs the 1X against a strong away team.|
|DC1X||Home win or draw (away team good run) v2||Backs the 1X against a strong away team in games with few goals expected.|
|Away DNB||Equipo Visitante No Fav||Average home vs poor away|
|Away DNB||Equipo Visitante No Fav (filtro cuotas)||Poor away in a game where both teams lost their last game(s) and goals are expected.|
|Away DNB||Solid as a rock||Back the away DNB when both teams have not won recently.|
|Away DNB||Solid as a rock lower odds version||Back the away DNB when both teams have not won recently, but limit the DNB odds to near evens or less.|
|Away DNB||Away Draw No Bet (Updated 2021-10-26)||Betting on the away victory, covering the draw, looking to break the good run of the home team. Searching odds value in the Draw No Bet Market|
|Away DNB||Away Win DNB against fav||Away Win DNB where away team is the underdog|
|Away DNB||Away Win DNB goals expected||Away Win DNB where away team is the underdog and goals expected|
|Away DNB||Away Win DNB strategy by benhur (Version 18.10.2021)||Away Win DNB strategy high odds dnb low odds for over 2.5.|
|Home DNB||DNB Local Underdog||Back the home underdog with a DNB bet.|
|Home DNB||Home Win (DNB) smooth strategy||Backing games with goals expected but both teams having drawn game(s) recently.|
|Home DNB||Long-term Profit||Back a weak home team in a game with few expected goals.|
|Over 2.5 goals||Funger Over 2,5 – 1||Back overs when the home team is favourite and both teams had recent unders form.|
|Over 2.5 goals||Goals are my passion||Find value bets when both teams are not on a good run of consecutive games scoring.|
|Over 2.5 goals||” Over 2.5 change in expected goals trend”||Back overs when both teams have only had 1 overs game in their past 5. (36 of 111 leagues used)|
|Under 2.5 goals||TW Under 2.5 Goals Against the Trend 101 of 111 leagues||This strategy is inspired by a simple reverse of the Betaminic Against the trend Over 2.5 goals strategy. It looks for matches with a home team that has a seasonal trend of unders matches and a short term trend of overs matches for both the home and away team. The short term form drives up the price of the unders bet to value levels.|
|Under 2.5 goals||Funger Under 2,5 – 1||Back unders when the home team has not won in a while and the away team won their last game(s).|
|Under 2.5 goals||U2.5 draw odds||U2.5 strategy filtered by draw odds Back unders when both teams have not scored recently and the match is expected to be unders and the draw odds are low.|
|Under 2.5 goals||Under 2.5 system||Two average teams play each other in an overs expected game. A tighter than usual game can happen.|
|Under 2.5 goals||Under 2.5 teams strong defense||Back unders when both teams have not conceded recently.|
Highlighting New Strategies
These 3 new strategies are worth highlighting because they work across all of the 111 leagues in the new enlarged database. Strategies that work across all leagues with no filtering reduce the risk that we have just data mined our way to green numbers. This can give us a lot of confidence to consider such strategies.
1 TW Under 2.5 Goals Against the Trend 101 of 111 leagues
This is a very interesting new strategy that is inspired by a simple reverse of the Betaminic Over 2.5 against the trend / Más 2.5 contra tendencia (Updated 2021-10-21) strategy. It looks for matches with a home team that has a seasonal trend of unders matches and a short term trend of overs matches for both the home and away team. The short term form drives up the price of the unders bet to value levels. The shared version uses 101 leagues with negative yielding leagues with 50+ bets in their data set removed. This gives a yield of +5.58% and a low maximum drawdown of -23 points. If no leagues were filtered, it would still have a positive yield of +2.72% and a maximum drawdown of -35 points. It makes this a very interesting strategy to follow since both the Over and Under 2.5 goal Against The Trend strategies could be followed together with no overlap.
2 Draw Due All 111 leagues
This strategy makes 8% ROI across ALL leagues. This is a strong global trend. It looks for games where a draw is due after long drawless runs and when the Over 2.5 goal odds are near evens suggesting a 1-1 is likely. The draw odds themselves are narrowed to likely draw bands to avoid games where there is a strong favourite (higher draw odds). The settings are similar to and inspired by the Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 & Draws are in late – All Leagues strategies by Maxi, but have slightly different settings. The fact these 3 strategies all find the same trend suggests that this kind of strategy is worth considering. Since they back games that have not had draws recently, we could also view these as a kind of Against the Trend style.
3 Weak Home Unders Draw All 111 leagues
This strategy looks for fixtures where the home team is not a strong favourite and few goals are expected. A draw is very possible. These settings work across all the leagues and generated a +6% yield historically. Again, the fact that it works across all leagues suggests it is worth considering. The maximum drawdown of -71 points is the only worry here.
Since Shared Results
Weak Home Unders Draw All 111 leagues has already had 120 bets since it was shared on September 24th, and it has maintained the 6% yield that its historical results suggested. The other two new strategies still do not have enough data to be meaningful but their early bets are already in the green.
List of Original and Updated Strategies where the updated strategy already has a higher rating than the original
(* indicates updated strategy is doing better than the original)
Some original strategies that had good core concepts but are in the negative at the moment have shown profit in their updated strategies. The new expanded database has more minor leagues where more value can be found since the bookmaker has less knowledge and experience. The core ideas of these strategies may do better with the expanded league choice. Here are a list of some strategies that are already beating their original strategy versions.
|Rating||Bet Type||Original Strategy||Updated Strategy||Core Idea|
|Over 2.5 goals||ALL LEAGUES Over 2.5 against trend / TODAS las LIGAS Más 2.5 contra tendencia||ALL LEAGUES Over 2.5 against trend / TODAS las LIGAS Más 2.5 contra tendencia (Updated 2021-10-20)||This strategy goes against the short term trend of unders matches that push the unfancied odds up into value.|
|DC1X||Colossus 04 Park the Bus 1X (Updated 2020-07-04)||Park the Bus DC1X 36 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields||A weaker team that has not won for at least two home games tries to get something out of a game they are expected to lose. We have all seen these kinds of games, bottom 6 teams fighting hard and we know they will just try to stop the other team from scoring. Sometimes at the end of the game the away side will get sloppy pushing forward to make a breakthrough when it is 0-0 and the home team nicks a win. The updated strategy is having much better results than the original.|
|Draw||ALL LEAGUES Draw breaking trend / TODAS las LIGAS Empate rompiendo racha|
|ALL LEAGUES Draw breaking trend / TODAS las LIGAS Empate rompiendo racha ((Updated 2021-10-20)||A home favourite with over 2.5 goal odds around evens plays in a game where both the home and away team have recent form of under 2.5 goal games.|
|Favourite||Bet on favorite with few goals expected||Bet on favorite with few goals expected (Updated 2021-10-26)||Backs the odds on favourite in games with over 2.5 goals under 1.80 and the home team has slightly better short term form than the away team. (43 of 111 leagues)|
|Home||No surprises||No surprises (Updated 2021-10-26)||Back teams based on recent form. Strong home form versus weak away form with goals expected.|
List of All Other Original and Updated Strategies
|Rating||Bet Type||Original Strategy||Updated Strategy||Core Idea|
|4||Home||ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local mala racha||ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local mala racha (Updated 2021-10-20)||A home underdog with few recent home wins meets a poor away team.|
|2||Draw||Big vs Good – Top Leagues||Big vs Good – All Leagues||Exploiting the bias against draws between two equally strong teams, in particular two top-tier teams.|
|2||Underdog||Braveheart||Braveheart (Updated 2021-11-07)||Backs the underdog in games where neither team won their last game and goals are expected.|
|2||Home||No pain, no gain||No pain, no gain (Updated 2021-10-26)||A poor home team versus an average away team.|
|2||Home||Failing to plan is planning to fail||Failing to plan is planning to fail (Updated 2021-10-26)||Backing home teams with odds over evens and goals expected. Neither teams drew their last game.|
|0||Home||Failing to plan is planning to fail v2|
|2||Home||ALL LEAGUES Home Team Not scoring / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local SIN marcar|
|ALL LEAGUES Home Team Not scoring / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local SIN marcar (Updated 2021-10-20)||A home underdog that did not score in their last game(s) faces an away team that conceded in their last game(s). The recent form is enough to entice the public market to back the draw or away win which drives the home price up into value.|
|1||Underdog||Colossus 08 Underestimated Underdog (Updated 2020-07-04)||Underestimated Underdog 30 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields|
|This strategy backs the underdog in a game where both teams have good season form. The statistics suggest they have a chance.|
|1||Home||EB Extra Bets Trigger – Home Dominators||EB Extra Bets Trigger – Home Dominators by form 32 of 111 leagues 4%+ leagues||These picks are meant to be used together with the BSG bot set in the BF Bot Manager as triggers to place pre-match and in-play bets depending on the in-play stats. Or if you bet manually, then follow the matches in-play and place extra bets on the home team each 10 minute mark if the in-play stats look good.|
|0||Underdog||Pro8 Underestimated Underdog v2||Pro8 Underestimated Underdog v2 (Updated 2021-11-17)||This strategy filters in teams that both have similar form in terms of percent average wins, but the odds rate one team as more likely to win. This often ends up as an away bet where the home team is higher up in the table or a home bet when a mid-table team comes up against a higher ranked visitor. (RP8 TP2 4%+ yield leagues selected)|
|0||Away||Colossus 20 Away Dog (Updated 2020-07-04)||Colossus 20 Away Dog (Updated 2021-11-17)||Sometimes the price on the underdog that has not won for a while away from home is higher than its true probability due to lack of backers. This creates an opportunity over the long term for value bets.|
|0||Home||Colossus 16 Home Leagues (Updated 2020-07-04)||Colossus 16 Home Leagues (Updated 2021-11-17)||For some leagues, the bookmaker has not got their model right and simply backing all home teams has made profit historically.|
|0||Away||Colossus 09 Goals Galore Away Underdog (Updated 2020-07-04)||Colossus 09 Goals Galore Away Underdog (Updated 2021-11-17)||Back the away team in a match with no favourite and where over 2.5 goals are expected. The idea here is that when there is no clear favourite, in this case defined as no favourite below 2.5 in the odds, and 3 or more goals are odds on, then we can imagine that this game could go either way. The away side is obviously decent enough to stop the home side being named favourites, so it has a chance of winning.|
|0||Draw||Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2020-07-04)||Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2021-11-17)||When the underdog is not too highly priced we can imagine it is in with a fighting chance and there could be a draw.|
|0||Away||Pro2 Goals Galore Away V2 (Updated 2020-07-15)||Pro2 Goals Galore Away V2 (Updated 2021-11-17)||Back the away team in a match with no favourite and where over 2.5 goals are expected.|
|0||Home||Pro5 Undefeated Home Dog||Pro5 Undefeated Home Dog (Updated 2021-11-17)||In this strategy we are backing home underdogs that have not lost their last home game or even the last two home games.|
|0||DC12||Double Chance (12) avg teams low % draws||Double Chance (12) avg teams low % draws v2.0|
|Double Chance (12) avg teams with low percentage of draws in their games.|
|0||DC1X||Double Chance Home Team bad run||Double Chance Home Team bad run (Updated 2021-10-26)||Double Chance Home Team bad run vs Away Team good run|
|0||Favourite||Goals & favorite teams||Goals & favorite teams (Updated 2021-10-26)||Back the favourite (excluding very strong favs) in games with high goal expectations.|
|0||Favourite||Goals & favorite teams v2|
|0||Away||High risk / High reward||High risk / high reward (Updated 2021-11-05)||Backing away teams with a poor away record in matches they are not rank outsiders in.|
|0||Home||In LOVE with LOW ODDS||In LOVE with LOW ODDS (Updated 2021-10-26)||Back the odds on home team when they won their last game against an away team that lost their last game.|
|0||DC12||No draws poor shape home team||No draws poor shape home team v2.0||Backing a winner in a game with a home team in poor form.|
|0||Favourite||Odds value for favorite team||Odds value for favorite team (Updated 2021-10-26)||Back the weak favourite when the home team have lost a few recently and the away team didn’t win their last one.|
Have you updated your private strategies yet?
If you have private strategies of your own, we really do recommend that you create updated versions of them using the expanded 111 league database. This increases the data available to prove the trend you were following. It also gives you a chance to take advantage of smaller leagues that the public market is not wise to and the odds may have more value in them. Big data works better the more data you have.
Check out the updated version of the top ranking strategies
In this article we have listed the updated versions of the top ranking strategies. Over time, the new versions will likely rise to the top of the Betaminic ranking list, you can wait for that or you can switch over to following them sooner and take advantage of the expanded league database right now.
Finally, a big, big thank you to all our users who not only updated their strategies but were also kind enough to share them on the public strategies page. The public strategies are a great place to share ideas, get inspired and eventually the strongest trends will rise to the top and help everyone. We hope you continue to have success with them.
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