The Best Betting Strategies of 2020
The best system for sports betting is a combination of the best value-finding strategies that have a proven track record and also a level of stability and reliability. Do not miss this article to know the best betting strategies of 2020 on Betamin Builder (an online football statistics analysis tool) and how they can be used in combined multi-strategy betting systems depending on a bettor’s focus: for high profits, for high yields or for low risk bank protection.
Betaminic is a website that has a free online tool for analysing soccer statistics and historical bookmaker odds. By analysing past data of over 140,000 matches, winning patterns can be found. For example, there are some leagues where backing over 2.5 goals in certain conditions leads to profit long term. Betaminic’s tool, the Betamin Builder, allows you to find those value patterns. There is also a way to have future picks from those profitable trends emailed to you so that you can bet on them. Basically, if you can find what betting system would have made profit in the past, it gives you a promising strategy to follow in the future. You can sign up for free here and see for yourself.
Betaminic has been available to the public since 2017 and has grown quickly. Currently, there are over 350 shared strategies available on the site. Some of them have been researched and created by Betaminic and their team, and some have been created and shared by ordinary users. All the strategies have been created from researching Betaminic’s large database of odds and football statistics. After signing up for free, you can click on the “public strategies” section (A) and see all the strategies. The strategies can be viewed in two ways, the “All Results” view, which includes all the data used in the research period and the actual results since it was created; and secondly there is a “Since shared” view (B), which only includes the actual results since the strategy was created. The great advantage of the “Since shared” views is that we can see the strategies that are actually in profit and making money for real. We can then click on the online table (C) to rank the data anyway we like. We can rank them by Betaminic rating, total profit, by yield, by average odds, by average number of bets per month, by biggest losing run (maximum drawdown), and even by the number of users who follow these winning systems. When choosing which strategies to follow, the “Since shared” view is highly recommended since you can see real proof of positive results and profitable performance.
The Best of 2020
With so much choice, and the profitable strategies having a variety of characteristics, it can be hard to know which ones to choose and how to start. To make things easier, we are going to rank the top 10 strategies in five categories: for highest profit, highest yield, lowest drawdown (i.e. with the smallest losing runs, therefore being better for conservative bettors who want to protect their bank), best Betaminic rating and by Big Data set size. We will also show a final Overall Summary Table of the best performers. As a basic filter, only strategies with over 100 bets in their since shared data set and yields over 3% have been ranked. The Top 10 strategies in each category will be ranked using the official “Since shared” view.
Note: these are the results until 18/01/2021. Current results may change.
Top 10 Winners by Profit
|wdt_ID||P/L Rank||Strategy Name||User Name||Bet Type||Rating||PL Since Shared||Yield Since Shared||Bets Since Shared||Max DD||Picks/Month||Avg. Odds||PL/Month||Followers|
Profits No.1: Braveheart +76 points
The current top strategy for profit is Bravehart by user Alexis. This strategy has made an amazing 75 points in less than 6 months. It has a very high yield of 47% and has made 160 bets since it was shared. It backs the underdog in specific games where goals are expected. This strategy has high average odds of 6.49 and a win rate of 23%. This means, just as its notes suggest, that it is a strategy that can have long losing runs and then some big priced winners. This strategy has found value in higher odds ranges, but be aware that a “normal” 10 bet run for this strategy is 8 losses and 2 wins if everything is going to plan. That can be a long losing run for some. But its profits have been stunning and for long term bettors with a solid staking plan in place, it could be a good addition to a betting portfolio. It has a maximum drawdown of -20 in its since shared period and -35 over the past 8 years It is currently in its 5th consecutive month of profit with about 26 bets per month.
Profits No.2: Deneme +60 points
This is another strategy that backs underdogs with highs odds, but its selection method is completely different to the previous strategy, Braveheart. Deneme, by user GrandEknoks, looks at long term trends for the home and away team in terms of average wins and losses. It then filters matches based on the draw odds instead of looking directly at the underdog odds. This novel approach has produced 60 points profit over the past 2 years. It has a very high yield of 32% with a surprisingly low drawdown for a strategy with a 24% win rate. The maximum drawdown is only -13 in the period since it was shared and -26 over the past 8 years of 945 bets. Just like the previous high profit strategy, Braveheart, even when things are going as planned, there will be long losing runs of 8 losses and a couple of high odds winners. Since the research methods are quite different for Deneme and Braveheart, the two of them could be used together in a high profit system.
Profits No.3: Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs +59 points
This strategy was in 10th place in the 2019 Profit table, 2nd in the 2019 Betaminic Rating table and 5th in the 2019 Big Data rankings. This strategy has really shown itself to be a long term pattern that keeps making profits. It is based on looking for games where the away side is expected to score goals and this creates more chance for games with plenty of goals. If the away team gets one goal, the home team will press harder, leaving them open at the back to concede more, or pressing forward to get the 2 goals need to overturn the visitor’s 1. This strategy is the most successful strategy that came out of Tom Whitaker’s 2018 book and is still going strong. It added +22 points profit to its total in 2020 and now it has 59 points profit after 702 bets which gives it a lot of data to back up its pattern. It has a stunning 8% yield after over 2 years and hundreds of bets. The win rate of 58% and average odds of1.88 make it a very comfortable and easy strategy to follow. It has had 2 months of consecutive losses on a few occasions, but overall it shows a strong, steady upward progression. It has a Betaminic rating of 100 which suggests its pattern is very strong one. It is the second most followed strategy on Betaminic with over 160 followers. This strategy is recommended as a good strategy to include in any Betaminic users portfolio.
From the next 7 strategies, we see some familiar names that have found long term patterns. DOUBE CHANCE (4th in 2020, 5th in 2019) and EPL INVERSA (9th in 2020, 6th in 2019) both appeared in 2019’s top 10 for profit. They have continued their good runs.
4th DOUBE CHANCE, by user nirnouta50, is a 1X bet strategy that picks up on home teams facing a stronger away opponent and backs the home team to get something out of their tough home fixture. How many times have we seen away teams with big names go odds on and then stumble to a draw as the home team digs in for their home fans. This strategy finds those games. If you like rooting for the underdog, then this is a great one to follow and enjoy watching the game live. DOUBE CHANCE added 22 points profit to its total and is now on 55 points since shared. It has an impressive yield of 13%, average odds of 2.73 and a low Maximum Drawdown of -11. This is the third most popular strategy on Betaminic with 128 followers.
5th Away wins, by user Bastian, was highlighted in our Best of 2018 article as a profit strategy for the future, and so it has proved. It backs away wins in a select few leagues for teams that have not won away for a while, which may lead to the bookmaker models pricing those teams higher than their true odds and giving us value bets. It made over 40 points profit in 2020 with a yield of 12%.
6th Home win contra tendencia andrews371 was shared in January 2020 and has already made 471 bets leading to 47 points profit with a yield of 10%. 471 bets is a large number and a good sign of a strong pattern. This strategy bets on home teams that have struggled to win at home, thus their odds get raised by the bookmaker model.
7th No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams by Maxi is a draw backing strategy that looks for games where few goals are expected and a draw seems on the cards after a recent streak without. This strategy made an impressive 30 points profit in 2020 to bring its since shared total to 43 points. Its 18% yield and clear logic make it very appealing.
8th Draw trend 2 by Serhii is another draw strategy but is based on completely different logic to Maxi’s 7th place strategy. Draw trend 2 backs the draw in games between two teams both playing well and winning games. It has 36 points profit with a yield of 12%. Despite a win rate of 33% it has a low maximum drawdown for a draw based strategy of -25 over the past 8 years.
9th EPL INVERSA, by user arisco, backs underdogs at home against odds-on away teams, in this way it is similar to DOUBE CHANCE in its core idea, but bets on the straight home win, rather than a home win or draw as DOUBE CHANCE does.
10th DNB Home win – strong teams, by user accumulator, has burst onto the scene in the second half of 2020. It was only shared in July 2020, but has already made 36 points profit from 241 bets, giving it a ROI of 15%. Its Betaminic rating of 100 suggests it has found a strong trend. This strategy backs the Draw No Bet pick for home teams that have good form who are going up against away teams that also have good form. This leads to some very decent average odds of 1.91. The 46% win rate and low drawdown of just -5 in 2020 and -17 over the previous 8 years make this a very attractive strategy.
HIGHLIGHT – DON’T MISS THESE 2 STRATEGIES
Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs (+22 in 2020) and DOUBE CHANCE (+22 in 2020) have been highlighted in Betaminic articles and emails. Just these two strategies in 2020 made +44 points profit together. If the Secure Staking plan settings from our staking article were used, 117 points profit would have been made from 467 bets, more than doubling betting banks in 2020. These are the 2 stand out strategies from 2020 and should be considered for addition to your long-term sports betting portfolio if you do not have them already.
Top 10 Winners by Yield
|wdt_ID||Yield Rank||Strategy Name||User Name||Bet Type||Rating||PL Since Shared||Yield Since Shared||Bets Since Shared||Max DD||Picks/Month||Avg. Odds||PL/Month||Followers|
Yields No.1 Braveheart 47%
The No.1 for profits also comes in as No.1 for yields with its incredible 47% after 160 bets.
Yields No.2: Deneme 32%
Deneme also takes second spot for yields with 32% after 186 bets.
Yields No.3: No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams 18%
No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams by Maxi is 7th on the profit ranking and takes 3rd for yields with 18% after 235 bets. This is a draw backing strategy that looks for games where few goals are expected and a draw seems on the cards after a recent streak without. This strategy made an impressive 30 points profit in 2020 to bring its since shared total to 43 points. Its 18% yield and clear logic make it very appealing. Keeping such a high yield after so many bets is a good sign.
Yields No. 4~10:
We see DNB Home win – strong teams (7th) and DOUBE CHANCE (9th) turn up again in the yields table as well as the profits table, which highlights their strengths.
Visitante H 0.0 (6th,) by user mandraco, is another strategy that was highlighted in our 2018 article and has continued its good performance. It only has a about 8 picks per month, but over 2 years has had 180 bets making 28 points profit with 15% yield. It has high average odds for a Draw No Bet strategy of 4.23. This strategy looks for home teams with good win records and then backs the Away DNB bet. The strategy also focusses on lower leagues, trying to take advantage of the variable levels of consistency and form in those leagues.
TOM WHITAKER Away Team Against The 3 Match Trend (10th) was only shared in October 2020, but in less than 3 months it has made 30 points with an 11% yield. This strategy tries to make profit by going against the trend on away wins. Very simply, if the away team did not win any of their last 3 or more games overall, their away win odds will be higher than usual as bettors hold back and the bookmaker model marks them up. One difference between this strategy and other away win strategies is that it limits bets to odds of 5 to avoid higher risk bets. This helps keep the average odds down to 3.42 and the win rate at a more comfortable 35% instead of the more usual 20% win rate for away win strategies. This strategy’s league selection was made using the BDHY style as explained in this article on 6 Steps to Avoid Data Mining.
Top 10 Winners by Maximum Drawdown
|wdt_ID||DD Rank||Strategy Name||User Name||Bet Type||Rating||PL Since Shared||Yield Since Shared||Bets Since Shared||Max DD||Picks/Month||Avg. Odds||PL/Month||Followers|
Maximum Drawdown No.1: Away X 4 Over
This strategy is by lousibang (the creator of Pro-Home). Here he takes a very interesting idea and turns a profit. This strategy backs the over 2.5 goals result in matches of selected leagues after the away team has had 3 draws in a row. The logic being that a team that after 3 unbeaten games, the away team may be pushing for a win, or be of sufficient confidence to play a more attacking game in their next match. This may lead to more goals. If the home team gets goal, the away team seems to have enough form to suggest they can stay in it and get an equalizer and then the 3rd goal for either team is not far away. This strategy has only had 98 bets, but with a 8% yield has made 8 points profit. The incredible low drawdown of -4.53 is the most attractive thing here and the win rate of 54% makes this an easy strategy to follow.
Maximum Drawdown No.2: Double Chance Home or Away win
This is a double chance strategy that focusses on the 12 bet. It bets that the game will not be a draw. These kind of strategies are good for simple double chance bets, but are also very good for Lay The Draw selection strategies that seek out matches that are unlikely to be draws. The user Goliath has made a number of 12 double chance strategies that find profitable selections. This strategy looks for teams that have not won their previous few games and thus enter this match looking for a win to reduce the pressure building up on them. It has a very low drawdown of -5.2 after 249 bets since shared and only -7 in 8 years of 3,975 bets. The average odds of 1.33 and low drawdown will allow higher stakes to be placed on the picks and leverage even more profit from this strategy..
Maximum Drawdown No.3: No more draws in my life
This is another 12 double chance betting strategy from the user Goliath. It uses completely different settings than his previous strategy, which means it will produce different selections and can be used together as a set. This strategy focusses on leagues with a low average of draws and by using the Betaminic statistics pages specifies individual team names to bet on when their previous match was under 2.5 goals. When these statistics line up, we get a selection. The strategy has a drawdown of -5 in the last 273 bets and -6 in the last 8 years of 3,671 bets. That is a really low level for so many bets. This strategy together with Goliath’s previous strategy could be a great selection provider for Lay The Draw trading and other goals based trading strategies on exchanges.
Maximum Drawdown No.4~10:
DNB Home win – strong teams comes up again, this time in 4th position for low drawdowns. This is another sign of this strategy’s good points.
Sniper Over in 5th positon is an exciting strategy by user guilhermehg. It backs the over 2.5 goals bet in matches where there is a strong away team that usually concedes goals It has a yield of 7.45% after 100 bets. Put this together with its extremely low drawdown of -5.87 makes you understand why it is named “sniper”. It is trying to focus on high value bets. It only finds 6 bets per month, but they seem to be well chosen.
Home w1n Andrea in 7th position is also worth a mention. This strategy has average odds of 2.01, a win rate of 60% but a drawdown of just -7. That is low for comparable average odds. It looks to back teams with good home form and the opposition has poor away form. The strategy avoids low odds home teams, so it is a strategy that looks at form without being biased by the names of teams and expectations that come from that. The 6% yield is very good after 108 bets.
Top 10 Winners by Betaminic Rating
|wdt_ID||Rating Rank||Strategy Name||User Name||Bet Type||Rating||PL Since Shared||Yield Since Shared||Bets Since Shared||Max DD||Picks/Month||Avg. Odds||PL/Month||Followers|
Betaminic Rating No.1: Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs
This strategy’s rating of 100 is supported by its long term success with over 702 bets, a solid 8% yield, 59 points profit and a low -14 drawdown since it was shared.
Betaminic Rating No.2: DNB Home win – strong teams
This strategy, by user accumulator, has burst onto the scene in the second half of 2020. It was only shared in July 2020, but has already made 36 points profit from 241 bets, giving it a ROI of 15%. Its Betaminic rating of 100 suggests it has found a strong trend. This strategy backs the Draw No Bet pick for home teams that have good form who are going up against away teams that also have good form. This leads to some very decent average odds of 1.91. The 46% win rate and low drawdown of just -5 in 2020 and -17 over the previous 8 years make this a very attractive strategy.
Betaminic Rating No.3: Braveheart
This high-profit strategy takes another award with its high rating of 66 from of its positive results since shared.
Betaminic Rating No.4~10:
DOUBE CHANCE (4th), No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (6th), deneme (7th), Double Chance Home or Away win (9th) and home win contra tendencia andrews371 (10th) have all been mentioned already and their high Betaminic ratings show how the ratings system is a great way to see the best strategies rise to the top and be highlighted as new strategies get shared and develop.
Pro-Home was ranked 3rd for drawdown in 2019 and has continued its trend into 2020. It has added 13 points in 2020 to reach 30 points profit. For a low average odds (1.38) strategy, those are good numbers. Low odds strategies mean higher stakes can be placed on each bet. Its yield of 4.22% and win rate of 78% make it a comfortable strategy to follow.
DENEME 8 YENİ STRATEJİ (8th) is an interesting strategy from user GrandEkinoks. He has shared a number of successful strategies and this one could be another long term pattern. It backs X2 double chance bets and is getting a respectable 10% yield after over 200 bets and low drawdown of -11. It is worth keeping an eye on this one.
Top 10 Winners by Big Data
With statistics, the more data we have, the more confident we can be that a trend is true. So in this ranking we give importance to the number of bets that are in each strategy’s data set.
|wdt_ID||Big Data Rank||Strategy Name||User Name||Bet Type||Rating||PL Since Shared||Yield Since Shared||Bets Since Shared||Max DD||Picks/Month||Avg. Odds||PL/Month||Followers|
Big Data Rank No.1: EPL INVERSA
This strategy by user arisco, backs underdogs at home against odds-on away teams, in this way it is similar to DOUBE CHANCE in its core idea, but bets on the straight home win, rather than a home win or draw as DOUBE CHANCE does. It has over 800 bets in its Live Period since it was shared. It shows a 4.77% yield which is respectable for a long term strategy.
Big Data Rank No.2: Draw, both teams scored
This strategy by McMcDonald bets on draws. The strategy looks for teams that are scoring goals but are in a game that is expected to be a draw. At 3.08%, it has a lower yield than some other highlighted strategies, but the 764 bets since shared suggest a long term trend that can be followed as it is, or researched a little bit further to try to increase the yield. The user has found something, and there may be more to this trend.
Big Data Rank No.3: Pro-Home
This strategy backs home favorites with high home goal averages. Pro-Home was ranked 3rd for drawdown in 2019 and has continued its trend into 2020. It has added 13 points in 2020 to reach 30 points profit. For a low average odds (1.38) strategy, those are good numbers. Low odds strategies mean higher stakes can be place on each bet. Its yield of 4.22% and win rate of 78% make it a comfortable strategy to follow.
Big Data Rank No.4~10
Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs, home win contra tendencia andrews371 and away wins have already been reviewed and the fact they have lots of bets in their data set to back up their patterns gives yet more reasons to consider them for your portfolio.
Other strategies Home Team Recent Streak: Few Draws, Colossus 14 Home Blanks Away Scoring, DRAW YENİ STRATEJİ and Draw high odds under have yields in the 3-5% range. All of these strategies have over 500 bets in their data sets. For many professional gamblers, getting an ROI of near 5% after 500 bets would be considered a successful year, so these strategies have all found long term trends that have netted profit.
Overall Summary Table
In the final summary table, there are many things to consider for a strategy to be number 1. Profit is important, but low drawdowns and dependability are also important.
|wdt_ID||Overall Rank||Strategy Name||User Name||Bet Type||Rating||PL Since Shared||Yield Since Shared||Bets Since Shared||Max DD||Picks/Month||Avg. Odds||PL/Month||Followers|
#1 Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs has over 702 bets with a yield of 8.42% that suggest an excellent pattern. It has a low drawdown of -14 that makes it a great strategy to follow in terms of bank control. It is one of the most popular strategies on Betaminic which means many users follow and continue to have success with this strategy, so we place it in the No.1 spot and call this the best strategy of 2020.
#2 DNB Home win – strong teams has risen to the top of the Betaminic ratings charts in recent months and its extremely low drawdown of -5.68 and average odds of 1.92 make it a good addition to your portfolio. If it can continue its 14% yield into 2021, then it will be a really good year.
#3 DOUBE CHANCE – while this strategy didn’t get in the top 3 of any of the tables, it did appear in 2019 and 2020 tables as a highlighted strategy. It has a good yield of 13.53%, 410 bets to back up its trend and low drawdown of -11. It is a good starting strategy to follow together with the Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs. Together with DNB Home win – strong teams, these top 3 winners of 2020 make a good, low drawdown, high yield set.
Where do I start? How can we use this information? – Multi-Strategy Systems
No strategy makes a profit every month, they have winning and losing months, but if we use a combination of strategies together in a portfolio of sports betting strategies, then we can reduce dependence on one strategy and spread risk. In the long term all these top strategies have shown that they make profit. If we put them together into a multi-strategy system, we can smooth out the monthly results and have fewer losing months. For this reason, even with the high profit strategies, it is wiser to use them as part of a multi-strategy system.
Betaminic has an aggregator function where we can put strategies together and see what the results are like. We can see how the yield, average odds, win rate, drawdown would change and how the monthly profits look. Next we have put the top strategies from the different categories into aggregated multi-strategy systems. You can see the results below. Decide what your priority is: profit, yield or low drawdowns. Then, you can use these grouped systems as they are or start adding strategies to your own multi-strategy system from the rankings above.
High Profit System
Here 5 of the top 10 high profit strategies have been put together, each following a different betting market pattern. This is to create a profit focused system.
Braveheart (Underdog), deneme (Underdog), Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (Over 2.5 goals), DOUBE CHANCE (1X), away wins (Away Win)
We can see from the monthly profits chart that there are smoother profits each month with much fewer losing months. The results show a fantastic 20 point points per month average and a yield of 20%. Over a year that could mean nearly 240 points. With a drawdown of -48.95, if you start with a standard betting bank of 100 points; stake 1 point per bet and re-calculate the stake of 1 point based on the current betting balance every 10 bets. This will protect the bank in bad runs and take advantage of good runs. At an average of 20 points per month, you might even double your bank every 6 months on average. This seems like a great strategy for profit building.
High Yield System
This high yield system is made up of 5 of the top 10 yielding strategies. This is to create a high yield system with all the strategies over 15% yields.
Braveheart (Underdog), deneme (Underdog), No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (Draw), High risk / High reward (Away Win), To swim against the tide (Away 1-1) (Home Win)
This system shows slightly less profit than the previous system, 18.63 points average per month and a yield of 25%. This system has a slightly lower drawdown than the profit system of -45.81 points. The data suggests that the betting bank could be doubled in 6 months. Again we can see how using multiple strategies together smooths out the monthly results and leads to a more stable progression. By using strategies that focus on different aspects of the betting markets, we also spread the risk if one of the trends changes.
Low Drawdown System
This Low Drawdown system is made up of 5 of the lowest drawdown strategies. This is to create a lower risk system with all the strategies of drawdowns under 6.
Away X 4 Over (Over 2.5 goals), Double Chance Home or Away win (DC 12), No more draws in my life (DC 12), DNB Home win – strong teams (Home Win (DNB), Sniper Over (Over 2.5 goals)
This low drawdown system manages to keep a yield of 10.42% but gets the drawdown to -19.17 which is lower than the High Profit System (-49) or the High Yield System (-46). Its average odds of 1.56 and win rate of 71% mean it should not have so many losses in a row and not stretch the betting bank. The data suggests an average of 12 points profit per month. With this system it would be possible to bet 4 points per bet from a standard 100 point betting bank with re-calculations of the stake size every 10 bets.
In conclusion, Betaminic has many strategies that have been running for a long time and have a profitable pedigree. By looking at the “Since shared” view on the strategies page and looking at the Betaminic ratings, we can see the real winning betting strategies. From there we can choose those that match our betting style and spread risk in multi-strategy systems to have fewer losing months and better profits in the future.
Good luck in 2021. We have all the tools we need for success.